Weekly Market Outlook (June 30 – July 4, 2025)
Here are the crucial economic indicators and events to watch this week as markets gear up for volatility and opportunity:
Monday, June 30
🔹 India Industrial Production (May)
April saw a 2.7% YoY rise, softening from March’s revised 3.9%. All eyes on May’s data for momentum cues.
🔹 India Manufacturing Production (May)
Rose 3.4% YoY in April, easing from a 4% lift in March. Will the May print point to renewed factory strength?
🔹 UK GDP (Q1 Final Reading)
The UK economy grew 1.3% YoY, outpacing forecasts but slipping from Q4’s 1.5%. Final revision for June expected.
Tuesday, July 1
🔹 India Manufacturing PMI (June Final)
Preliminary: 58.4, up from 57.6 in May—signaling strong sectoral optimism.
🔹 Eurozone Inflation (June Flash)
May was confirmed at 1.9%, easing below ECB’s 2% goal. Will June accelerate or cool further?
🔹 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (June)
May dipped to 48.5—its lowest since Nov 2024. A rebound or deeper contraction ahead?
🔹 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (June Final)
Flash held steady at 49.4 for June, missing forecasts. Final numbers could shift sentiment.
Wednesday, July 2
🔹 Crizac IPO Debut
A key listing to watch, especially in India’s dynamic IPO landscape. Investor interest likely to be high.
Thursday, July 3
🔹 India Services PMI (June Final)
Preliminary jumped to 60.7 from 58.8—will the final read confirm India’s services surge?
🔹 Eurozone Services PMI (June Final)
Inched up to the 50.0 neutral mark in June. Flash in line with expectations.
🔹 UK Services PMI (June Final)
Flash showed improvement to 51.3, from May’s 50.9. Stability or surprise ahead?
🔹 US Initial Jobless Claims (Week Ending June 21)
Previous: 245K, down 5K. Labor market resilience remains under scrutiny.
Friday, July 4
🔹 India Forex Reserves (June 20)
Latest reading will follow last week’s rise to $698.95B. FX trends remain critical amid global rate pivots.
Stay tuned. Stay informed. Markets move fast, and this week’s data will shape the next headlines.
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